Is it possible that the administration has overblown the threat of a nuclear Iran?
The short answer is yes. After all, many things are possible. However, the slightly longer answer is the Iranian nuclear threat is real and growing.
As Iran is a closed society, it’s difficult to get a definitive grip on what is really going on there. And if there are those who have a good grip on ground truth in Iran, they ain’t sayin’. Sources and methods and all that. And those National Intelligence Estimates? Let’s just gently say they’ve been less than completely useful.
But to the public, consider Iran and the evidence, which preponderantly suggests Iran is indeed trying to go nuclear:
They won’t let IAEA where they’re supposed to go.
They have secret facilities which are dribbled out one at a time.
They are pursuing nuclear technologies.
They are given top cover by Russia and China.
They are developing corresponding technologies to deliver nuclear weapons.
A nuclear Iran would enhance their regional security aspirations.
The law of succinctness points to an Iran with nuclear weapons aspirations. Is this a certainty? No. Is it a likelihood? Yes.
So tell me again how’s that global zero thing workin’ out?