Why Russia Loves New START

Posted: December 26, 2010 in Uncategorized
Tags: ,

From Brietbart:

The new Russia-US nuclear arms pact may have been hailed as historic but analysts said that all Moscow really has to do is phase out Soviet-era missiles and warheads that are already out of date.

With a bunch of old missiles and old warheads, Russia couldn’t modernize as they desired…

Soviet-era missiles such as the Saber SS-22 are rapidly approaching their expiry date and technical specifications mean the weapon has no purpose if its nuclear warheads are taken out of commission.

If a family of Russian nuclear weapons and delivery systems goes beyond its use-by date, that’s a great thing…unless that somehow manages to give Russia credit for something they were going to do anyway, and let’s them modernize as well (all in the name of peace, of course).  Bonus!

"START is not the problem here," said the respected military commentator Alexander Golts. "The problem is that Russia has to retire more delivery vehicles because of ‘old age’ than it has the funds to produce."

…the required phase-out of old missiles is not the only thing working in Russia’s favour. New counting rules will also allow it to attribute just one warhead per bomber even if it carries more — a point insisted on by Moscow during the treaty negotiations.

"We will not have to make any cuts to our strategic offensive weapons," Serdyukov told sceptical lawmakers from the Communist opposition. "But the Americans — they will indeed have to make some cuts."

Cuts for America but not for Russia?

"Serdyukov is right," said Moscow’s Centre for Disarmament Director Anatoly Dyakov. "Russia has already met its launcher obligations. It only has 560 of those.

The maths also works in Russia’s favour because START focuses exclusively on "strategic" nuclear weapons that are designed to destroy large populations or damage the enemy’s ability to wage war.

This doesn’t even address the missile defense issues (which favor Russia), the tactical nuclear weapons count (which massively favors Russia), and the weakened verification regime of New START (which favors a more-closed nation like Russia).

What’s not to love?

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Comments
  1. Coyote says:

    The Soviet’s, er, I mean the Russians, (I keep making that mistake when we talk about nukes) seem to be reinterpreting the treaty now that the Senate has given consent. Check out these Interfax articles posted on 24 Dec 2010:

    __________________

    MOSCOW. Dec 24 (Interfax) – The implementation by the United States of its plans to deploy a full-scale missile defense system will lead to Russia’s withdrawal from the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said.

    “I stress that the content of the treaty unequivocally points to the correlation between strategic offensive weapons and missile defense, it is set out in the preamble, whereas the text the treaty contains an article that allows either party to withdraw in the event of an emergency. We are convinced that the implementation of the full-scale global missile defense by the U.S. will be precisely such an emergency,” Lavrov told the State Duma.

    ————————————

    MOSCOW. Dec 24 (Interfax) – Russia found the U.S. interpretation of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty’s provision that the treaty does not apply to strategic systems with non-nuclear warheads unacceptable, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said.

    “We find unacceptable the unilateral American interpretation of the treaty according to which future strategic range systems with non-nuclear warheads not meeting the parameters stated in the treaty shall not be regarded as new types of strategic offensive weapons covered by the treaty,” Lavrov said in the State Duma that is holding the first reading of the treaty.
    ___________________________

    The Russians wisely waited until after the Senate vote to raise these concerns. They understand the value of timing. Even though the negotiating is done, they seem to be pushing for an even better deal!

    My question is; 1) Did the shrewd Russian negotiators hoodwink our negotiators, or 2) Did the Obama administration agree with the Russian interpretation during negotiations, but they did not share this info with the Senate, or 3) Did the Russians arrive at this conclusion earlier and only now are expressing their shock?

    It seems to me that these interpretations–bordering on objections–seem to be at the heart of the treaty. How could negotiations fail to reveal this?

    Cheers!

    Coyote

  2. […] http://www.youtube.com Russian Federation possesses the largest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the world with the capability to destroy 7000000000 of population in one hour. The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics was possesses 16000 warheads but today the number of intercontinental ballistic missiles and warheads in Russian Federation has declined to 12000, with arms limitation agreements with the US List of Nuclear Powers: Russian Federation Warheads active 4650 total 12000 – Global range United States Warheads active 2468 total 9600 – Global range France Warheads active 300 total 300 – Global range China Warheads active 180 total 240 – Global range United Kingdom Warheads active 160 total 225 – Global range Pakistan Warheads active 70 total 90 – Low range India Warheads active 60 total 80 – Low range Israel Warheads active Unknown total 80 – Low range North Korea Warheads active Unknown total 10 – Unknown range Anyone can also check out this related post: http://theosophical.wordpress.com/2010/12/14/freedom-life-and-abortion-a-strategic-approach-to-persuading-pro-choicers/ On the same topic: http://strategicsocks.wordpress.com/2010/12/18/great-new-sock-emporium-thanks-ac/ For more on this read: http://datechguy.wordpress.com/2010/12/24/unclear-on-the-concept-of-an-embargo/ You may also find this relevant: https://nationalspacestudiescenter.wordpress.com/2010/12/26/why-russia-loves-new-start-2/ […]

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